Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+74.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kayamori Sayaka ron 24,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +51.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -5.0 | +16.5 | +2.3 | -13.7 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 24,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 21% | 36% | 25% | 17% | -0.8 | +51.9 | -51.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 80% | 2% | 7% | +1.4 | +1.4 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 81% | 2% | 7% | -2.2 | +20.3 | -16.3 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 93% | 1% | 3% | -1.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 3% | 94% | 0% | 3% | -0.3 | -2.0 | +3.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 4% | 93% | 0% | 4% | -11.2 | +0.7 | -3.6 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 93% | 0% | 5% | -4.0 | -2.3 | -2.7 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 2% | 90% | 0% | 8% | -5.4 | -1.2 | +1.0 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 3,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 89% | 0% | 9% | +5.0 | +1.8 | -4.8 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 92% | 0% | 6% | -0.6 | +2.6 | +8.7 | -10.8 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -4.6 | +2.6 | +1.4 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -1.0 | -8.8 | -1.4 | +11.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | +0.7 | +1.5 | -2.0 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +8.3 | -6.7 | +0.7 | -2.3 |