Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+74.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sayaka Kayamori ron 24,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +53.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -1.7 | +12.2 | -1.0 | -9.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 24,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 23% | 34% | 24% | 20% | -2.9 | +53.2 | -50.5 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 80% | 1% | 10% | +0.7 | +2.1 | -0.3 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 9% | 81% | 2% | 8% | -0.7 | +20.1 | -18.0 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 94% | 0% | 3% | -1.2 | -2.9 | -0.7 | +4.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 93% | 0% | 4% | -0.7 | -0.1 | +2.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 2% | 94% | 0% | 4% | -10.8 | +0.1 | -3.3 | +14.0 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 94% | 0% | 5% | -4.2 | -3.5 | -1.3 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 1% | 91% | 0% | 7% | -5.3 | -0.6 | +0.4 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 3,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 89% | 0% | 10% | +5.9 | +2.5 | -5.5 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 93% | 0% | 5% | -1.8 | +1.7 | +9.0 | -8.9 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -3.2 | +3.0 | +0.6 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -2.2 | -8.4 | -0.1 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | +1.5 | +0.6 | -2.7 | +0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +8.0 | -6.5 | +0.5 | -2.0 |