Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/24 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 23% | 28% | 25% | -22.2 | +21.9 | -2.3 | +2.5 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 12% | 40% | 23% | 25% | -17.1 | +17.8 | +0.9 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 55% | 20% | 20% | +1.0 | +8.7 | -5.7 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 65% | 15% | 15% | -6.6 | +17.2 | -4.4 | -6.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 1% | 80% | 10% | 9% | +7.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 2% | 82% | 9% | 7% | -3.0 | +5.7 | -5.5 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,500 from Kurosawa Saki | 2% | 88% | 4% | 6% | -6.6 | -0.2 | -1.1 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 88% | 3% | 7% | -4.8 | -5.2 | +28.7 | -18.7 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 83% | 13% | 3% | -6.8 | -0.8 | +7.6 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 82% | 15% | 3% | -1.0 | -2.3 | -0.1 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 83% | 15% | 2% | -4.5 | -18.1 | +28.3 | -5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 47% | 52% | 1% | +1.5 | -7.0 | +6.8 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 34% | 64% | 2% | +0.7 | -7.6 | +6.2 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 23% | 76% | 1% | -3.8 | -3.8 | -5.3 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 19% | 78% | 3% | -1.2 | -2.5 | -1.0 | +4.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 16% | 78% | 5% | -0.1 | -24.2 | +2.7 | +21.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 4% | 84% | 12% | -3.0 | -8.3 | +10.1 | +1.1 |