Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/24 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +36.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 6,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -6.0 | +0.5 | +22.5 | -17.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 24% | 42% | 14% | +2.9 | -10.0 | +2.8 | +4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 17% | 44% | 17% | +1.1 | +36.3 | -36.6 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 48% | 15% | 15% | -1.6 | +3.3 | +6.6 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 52% | 18% | 11% | -16.2 | -6.1 | +27.5 | -5.2 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 9% | 43% | 39% | 9% | +1.4 | +28.5 | -6.1 | -23.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 4% | 74% | 21% | 1% | -0.9 | -16.4 | +4.0 | +13.3 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 59% | 31% | 5% | -3.8 | +20.4 | -13.2 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 91% | 5% | 3% | -4.1 | -3.8 | +5.3 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 86% | 10% | 3% | +8.8 | +6.7 | -1.0 | -14.5 |