Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/25 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -1.6 | +1.3 | +22.7 | -22.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 24% | 40% | 14% | -0.4 | -5.5 | -1.6 | +7.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 20% | 40% | 17% | -8.7 | -8.6 | -19.7 | +37.0 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 18% | 16% | 22% | 45% | -1.2 | -1.9 | +10.0 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 17% | 14% | 31% | 38% | -26.3 | +1.4 | +26.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 3% | 11% | 58% | 28% | +2.6 | +2.2 | +31.3 | -36.1 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -5.3 | +15.2 | -3.4 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | +12.5 | +7.2 | +1.8 | -21.5 |