Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/25 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.5 | -0.7 | +21.8 | -17.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 23% | 42% | 14% | -1.1 | -4.7 | +0.6 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 21% | 43% | 16% | -7.9 | -8.5 | -21.5 | +37.8 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 15% | 16% | 24% | 45% | -1.3 | +0.3 | +9.8 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 16% | 32% | 36% | -25.2 | -1.2 | +27.2 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 2% | 11% | 59% | 29% | +3.1 | +3.1 | +30.5 | -36.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 3% | -6.0 | +15.2 | -3.9 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | +13.0 | +7.0 | +2.1 | -22.1 |