Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/25 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.0 | -1.3 | -0.6 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 21% | 25% | 25% | 30% | +1.8 | -3.7 | -3.1 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 22% | 21% | 23% | 34% | -0.6 | +0.6 | -11.7 | +11.6 |
| East 4 | Akira Wakutsu ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 21% | 21% | 14% | 44% | +27.2 | 0.0 | -23.1 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 42% | 17% | 5% | 36% | -9.2 | -3.2 | -1.0 | +13.4 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori | 29% | 14% | 5% | 52% | -3.2 | +21.8 | -14.2 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 29% | 2% | 44% | -2.9 | +3.2 | +2.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 32% | 2% | 42% | -7.5 | -10.5 | -12.3 | +30.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 11% | 1% | 79% | -0.8 | -0.5 | +2.0 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 12% | 0% | 79% | -5.0 | -2.4 | -11.5 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +21.1 | -15.0 | -1.5 | -4.7 |