Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
12/25 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.1 | -3.7 | -0.6 | +10.5 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 23% | 25% | 33% | +1.8 | -2.5 | -1.3 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 22% | 20% | 24% | 34% | +1.1 | +2.2 | -13.9 | +10.6 |
| East 4 | Wakutsu Akira ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 21% | 22% | 14% | 43% | +25.3 | -1.6 | -21.5 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,000 | 40% | 17% | 6% | 37% | -8.5 | -1.4 | -2.8 | +12.7 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 28% | 14% | 5% | 53% | -3.3 | +20.6 | -12.7 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 29% | 2% | 44% | -2.7 | +4.6 | +1.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 23% | 33% | 2% | 41% | -7.0 | -12.1 | -12.1 | +31.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 9% | 11% | 0% | 79% | -2.1 | -1.7 | +3.7 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 8% | 10% | 1% | 80% | -3.5 | -0.9 | -13.3 | +17.7 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +21.1 | -15.2 | -1.3 | -4.7 |