Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/12 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +23.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -21.4 | +18.7 | +0.2 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 39% | 25% | 25% | -8.8 | +9.1 | -0.8 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 46% | 23% | 23% | -1.2 | -2.2 | +6.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 45% | 26% | 21% | -5.5 | +23.4 | -12.3 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 4% | 70% | 12% | 14% | +3.5 | +1.6 | -0.9 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,200 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 75% | 11% | 9% | -6.4 | -4.9 | +11.0 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 2% | 71% | 16% | 11% | -6.1 | +0.2 | +6.3 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 74% | 16% | 9% | +1.6 | +6.0 | -4.2 | -3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 87% | 6% | 7% | -3.7 | +6.7 | +2.3 | -5.3 |