Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/12 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+48.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -8.2 | +8.8 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 31% | 24% | 24% | +0.7 | +1.1 | +4.9 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 32% | 27% | 21% | +4.5 | -4.8 | +1.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 28% | 21% | -8.6 | -6.4 | -16.7 | +31.6 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 6,400 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 18% | 22% | 16% | 44% | +1.2 | -0.4 | +21.8 | -22.7 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 19% | 24% | 31% | 26% | -17.7 | -0.6 | +16.9 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 20% | 48% | 25% | +24.0 | -17.6 | -0.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 21% | 10% | 48% | 20% | -2.0 | +8.9 | +2.0 | -8.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 13% | 54% | 16% | -8.9 | -7.4 | -3.4 | +19.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 12% | 50% | 22% | -27.8 | +5.0 | +24.1 | -1.3 |