Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/12 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+48.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +23.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -6.5 | +5.8 | +0.5 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 28% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 | +3.6 | +3.9 | -8.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 30% | 27% | 21% | +5.4 | -5.5 | +2.1 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 29% | 21% | -10.0 | -5.8 | -15.6 | +31.4 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 6,400 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 18% | 22% | 18% | 42% | +2.6 | +0.4 | +18.7 | -21.7 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 21% | 23% | 31% | 25% | -17.9 | +0.1 | +15.6 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 20% | 46% | 25% | +22.2 | -17.0 | +0.8 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 11% | 48% | 22% | -2.1 | +8.3 | +2.9 | -9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 13% | 54% | 18% | -7.3 | -7.9 | -3.5 | +18.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 12% | 50% | 21% | -28.4 | +5.2 | +23.9 | -0.8 |