Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/13 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maruyama Kanako ron 16,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -2.1 | -20.6 | +1.6 | +21.1 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 14% | 23% | 42% | +1.0 | -5.5 | -4.8 | +9.3 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako ron 16,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 20% | 9% | 20% | 50% | -2.0 | +44.6 | -42.2 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 33% | 4% | 46% | -8.5 | +34.8 | -5.5 | -20.8 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 72% | 2% | 17% | -11.6 | -5.9 | -3.2 | +20.7 |
| South 2 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 62% | 1% | 35% | -5.9 | +23.6 | -3.3 | -14.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 89% | 0% | 11% | +4.4 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 91% | 1% | 8% | +4.4 | +1.4 | -4.9 | -0.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | -1.4 | +1.0 | +15.1 | -14.6 |