Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/13 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kanako Maruyama ron 16,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.9 | -19.4 | -0.4 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 14% | 24% | 42% | +0.8 | -5.7 | -4.9 | +9.8 |
| East 3 | Kanako Maruyama ron 16,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 19% | 9% | 20% | 51% | -0.3 | +44.6 | -42.2 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 35% | 4% | 45% | -9.2 | +33.9 | -4.4 | -20.2 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 73% | 2% | 17% | -12.5 | -5.9 | -3.5 | +21.9 |
| South 2 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 61% | 1% | 37% | -3.7 | +23.0 | -4.1 | -15.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 89% | 0% | 10% | +4.3 | -0.5 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 91% | 1% | 8% | +3.5 | +0.2 | -3.7 | 0.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 93% | 0% | 7% | -0.8 | +2.0 | +15.2 | -16.4 |