Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/15 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+51.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +66.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 6,400 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.7 | +0.1 | +22.2 | -17.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 20% | 23% | 41% | 16% | +1.2 | -12.1 | +1.6 | +9.3 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 16% | 43% | 20% | -1.2 | -1.5 | -2.7 | +5.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 15% | 41% | 23% | -10.6 | -9.7 | -15.1 | +35.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 10% | 23% | 54% | -1.4 | +1.9 | -0.8 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 10% | 24% | 54% | +1.5 | +2.5 | -1.3 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 13% | 12% | 24% | 50% | +17.7 | -10.7 | -3.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 8% | 21% | 48% | -12.7 | +12.7 | -3.8 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 13% | 18% | 56% | +15.6 | -10.3 | -2.1 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 24% | 7% | 18% | 51% | -7.4 | +0.4 | -8.8 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 6% | 6% | 76% | -15.2 | -15.3 | +66.4 | -35.9 |