Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/15 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -5.2 | -2.4 | +9.9 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 21% | 22% | 32% | 25% | +23.7 | -21.3 | -0.7 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 16,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 37% | 10% | 30% | 23% | +0.2 | +46.1 | -44.4 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 36% | 38% | 7% | 20% | -0.7 | -4.4 | -3.9 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 36% | 33% | 5% | 27% | +20.7 | -1.0 | -13.7 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 56% | 26% | 2% | 16% | +1.5 | +0.4 | -2.9 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 59% | 25% | 1% | 15% | +4.5 | -9.4 | +2.8 | +2.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 68% | 13% | 2% | 17% | -0.4 | +1.2 | +2.7 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 16% | 2% | 14% | -4.8 | -15.0 | -9.8 | +29.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 61% | 6% | 0% | 33% | +18.8 | -5.2 | +0.1 | -13.7 |