Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/16 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+97.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -32.3 | -4.2 | +35.1 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 6% | 20% | 53% | 20% | +1.1 | -3.0 | +19.6 | -17.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 12% | 75% | 9% | +2.5 | -3.2 | +4.1 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 10% | 78% | 9% | -5.8 | -7.1 | +20.1 | -7.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 1% | 3% | 93% | 3% | +1.4 | -1.1 | +4.7 | -5.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | +4.9 | -0.2 | -1.7 | -3.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 96% | 2% | -1.6 | -3.8 | -0.9 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | -3.1 | -1.1 | +12.9 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -0.8 | -5.0 | +4.2 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.5 | +2.6 | +0.2 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,400 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.3 | +5.6 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +29.2 | -5.4 | +0.3 | -24.1 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,200 from Kanako Maruyama | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.0 | +7.5 | -2.1 | -4.4 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +7.3 | -6.8 | +2.5 | -3.1 |