Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/16 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+97.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 22% | 25% | 27% | -34.6 | -0.5 | +37.8 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 7% | 20% | 55% | 19% | +1.2 | -2.8 | +18.0 | -16.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 5% | 11% | 74% | 10% | +2.4 | -2.8 | +3.4 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 10% | 77% | 8% | -6.3 | -6.9 | +20.7 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 1% | 3% | 93% | 3% | +2.4 | -0.7 | +5.1 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | +4.9 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -2.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -3.8 | -1.9 | -1.5 | +7.2 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -2.0 | -1.9 | +12.7 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | +0.8 | -7.3 | +5.0 | +1.4 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Maruyama Kanako | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +4.3 | +0.1 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,400 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -3.6 | +7.0 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | +29.5 | -5.8 | -0.1 | -23.7 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,200 from Maruyama Kanako | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +6.6 | -2.0 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +7.2 | -6.4 | +2.5 | -3.3 |