Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/16 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.5 | -0.8 | -10.8 | +14.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 24% | 18% | 36% | +7.5 | -4.5 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 27% | 20% | 17% | 36% | +9.6 | -3.8 | -5.2 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 36% | 19% | 11% | 34% | +2.4 | -1.9 | +25.3 | -25.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 39% | 18% | 28% | 16% | +30.2 | -29.5 | -2.2 | +1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 70% | 3% | 17% | 10% | +1.8 | -4.3 | -0.8 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 74% | 2% | 14% | 10% | +0.2 | -7.3 | +3.5 | +3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 0% | 14% | 10% | -2.1 | -0.6 | +5.9 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 0% | 18% | 9% | +2.6 | -3.4 | -17.3 | +18.0 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 81% | 0% | 4% | 15% | +7.9 | +2.9 | -7.0 | -3.9 |