Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/16 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -1.2 | -0.3 | -12.8 | +14.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 23% | 17% | 36% | +6.5 | -4.1 | -2.3 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 27% | 21% | 16% | 36% | +9.2 | -5.4 | -2.5 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 35% | 17% | 14% | 34% | +3.6 | -0.6 | +22.7 | -25.7 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 39% | 18% | 28% | 16% | +29.8 | -29.2 | -2.1 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 70% | 4% | 17% | 10% | +2.0 | -5.5 | +0.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 74% | 2% | 14% | 10% | +0.6 | -6.9 | +1.7 | +4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 76% | 0% | 13% | 10% | -3.6 | -0.8 | +5.4 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 70% | 0% | 19% | 11% | +3.1 | -2.7 | -16.6 | +16.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 80% | 0% | 4% | 16% | +8.6 | +3.0 | -7.1 | -4.5 |