Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/19 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +45.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -23.9 | +1.6 | -3.7 | +26.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 23% | 19% | 46% | -6.5 | -19.4 | -4.4 | +30.3 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 7% | 12% | 76% | -7.4 | -10.0 | +27.9 | -10.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 5% | 29% | 63% | -5.3 | -8.2 | +27.2 | -13.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 2% | 56% | 39% | -5.3 | -0.2 | +2.4 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 2% | 57% | 40% | +12.7 | -11.9 | -0.9 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 57% | 40% | +25.0 | -8.8 | -0.5 | -15.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 1% | 63% | 27% | +7.3 | -0.5 | -3.7 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 1% | 59% | 27% | +2.7 | +0.1 | +4.7 | -7.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 1% | 65% | 18% | +4.4 | -1.8 | -4.5 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 1% | 59% | 22% | -8.2 | -4.5 | +15.8 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 6% | 0% | 80% | 14% | -0.1 | -2.3 | +5.3 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 0% | 88% | 10% | -6.0 | +0.4 | -15.6 | +21.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 73% | 25% | -1.8 | -1.4 | +2.6 | +0.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 0% | 75% | 24% | +2.3 | 0.0 | -47.2 | +45.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +27.4 | -2.9 | -17.5 | -7.1 |