Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/19 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -21.4 | -3.1 | -0.2 | +24.7 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 22% | 23% | 44% | -5.3 | -16.6 | -9.9 | +31.7 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 8% | 11% | 75% | -8.2 | -9.2 | +29.5 | -12.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 6% | 30% | 59% | -8.6 | -6.8 | +28.6 | -13.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 4% | 58% | 37% | -2.1 | -2.8 | +2.2 | +2.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 3% | 58% | 38% | +14.0 | -11.9 | -2.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 2% | 57% | 38% | +24.9 | -9.2 | +0.5 | -16.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 1% | 64% | 24% | +4.9 | -1.3 | -2.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 1% | 62% | 25% | +3.0 | +0.6 | +2.8 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 14% | 1% | 65% | 20% | +3.6 | -1.3 | -3.4 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 17% | 1% | 60% | 22% | -6.9 | -5.2 | +14.8 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 6% | 0% | 80% | 14% | +0.3 | -2.0 | +5.1 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 3% | 0% | 88% | 9% | -5.5 | +0.3 | -15.0 | +20.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 73% | 24% | -2.5 | -1.3 | +2.0 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 2% | 0% | 74% | 25% | +2.3 | -0.1 | -46.5 | +44.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +27.3 | -2.7 | -17.7 | -6.9 |