Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/20 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+81.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -1.4 | +13.1 | +1.2 | -12.9 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 32% | 26% | 18% | -9.3 | -16.8 | +33.6 | -7.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 16% | 17% | 54% | 14% | -12.3 | +18.2 | -2.2 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 10% | 29% | 50% | 11% | +1.0 | -22.9 | +23.5 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 7% | 8% | 80% | 6% | -5.3 | -3.1 | +8.0 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 6% | 89% | 4% | +2.1 | -6.7 | +5.7 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -26.9 | +6.2 | +13.0 | +7.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.8 | -9.3 | -5.9 | +20.9 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -1.2 | -0.7 | +5.1 | -3.2 |