Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/20 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 32,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +82.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -4.8 | +16.2 | -2.3 | -9.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 35% | 23% | 20% | +5.2 | +0.2 | -0.9 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 36% | 24% | 16% | -22.4 | -2.1 | +24.2 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 32,000 | 11% | 31% | 41% | 17% | +82.2 | -21.8 | -44.0 | -16.5 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 82% | 8% | 5% | 6% | +14.7 | -16.4 | +4.8 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 95% | 2% | 2% | 1% | +13.7 | -4.2 | -5.8 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -8.0 | -7.6 | +24.6 | -9.0 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 96% | 1% | 3% | 1% | -9.1 | +13.6 | -1.5 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 93% | 2% | 4% | 0% | +0.7 | -2.2 | -17.1 | +18.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 97% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -1.1 | -3.4 | +2.4 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 95% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -1.3 | -1.9 | +4.9 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 95% | 0% | 3% | 2% | +1.5 | +29.8 | -9.6 | -21.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +8.4 | +3.6 | -3.2 | -8.8 |