Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/20 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 32,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +83.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -0.9 | +12.0 | -0.9 | -10.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 33% | 25% | 18% | +3.4 | +2.8 | -4.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 36% | 21% | 18% | -23.4 | -1.6 | +26.5 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 32,000 | 11% | 33% | 40% | 16% | +83.1 | -21.8 | -42.9 | -18.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 84% | 7% | 4% | 5% | +12.8 | -15.3 | +2.0 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 94% | 2% | 2% | 1% | +13.3 | -3.4 | -3.9 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -6.7 | -10.0 | +23.6 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -9.5 | +12.5 | -0.5 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 94% | 1% | 4% | 1% | +0.5 | -0.3 | -19.0 | +18.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 97% | 0% | 2% | 2% | -1.2 | -3.8 | +3.6 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 96% | 0% | 2% | 2% | -1.1 | -2.9 | +5.5 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 95% | 0% | 3% | 2% | +1.2 | +30.1 | -9.6 | -21.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +8.3 | +4.2 | -3.3 | -9.1 |