Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/22 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+86.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +35.2 | -31.3 | -3.9 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 9% | 18% | 21% | +23.2 | -6.9 | -7.0 | -9.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 73% | 5% | 11% | 12% | -17.2 | -4.2 | +22.3 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 56% | 5% | 25% | 14% | +1.2 | +25.2 | -27.8 | +1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 60% | 13% | 12% | 15% | +15.4 | -15.0 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 78% | 4% | 8% | 10% | +19.5 | -4.5 | -13.5 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 93% | 1% | 1% | 5% | +4.6 | +1.9 | -3.5 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 97% | 1% | 1% | 2% | +4.0 | -0.1 | -7.1 | +3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +3.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 6,400 from Murakami Jun | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -1.7 | +20.0 | -1.8 | -16.5 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -0.1 | -1.5 | +0.4 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.8 | +15.4 | +2.2 | -18.3 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2.0 | +4.4 | +6.7 | -9.1 |