Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/22 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+118.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 5 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +34.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +32.0 | -30.8 | -2.6 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 9% | 21% | 23% | -3.5 | +6.9 | -0.9 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 13% | 21% | 22% | -3.2 | +4.6 | -0.5 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,000 | 42% | 15% | 21% | 23% | -2.5 | +12.3 | -4.3 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato | 42% | 20% | 19% | 19% | -1.2 | +8.9 | +0.2 | -7.8 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 25% | 19% | 17% | +34.6 | -17.6 | -8.2 | -8.7 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 75% | 9% | 9% | 7% | +2.8 | +0.6 | -15.1 | +11.7 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 80% | 7% | 4% | 9% | -6.0 | -0.3 | -0.7 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 9% | 5% | 14% | +16.6 | -2.2 | -3.9 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 4% | 2% | 4% | +16.2 | -6.3 | -4.8 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 97% | 1% | 1% | 1% | +19.1 | -5.0 | -7.9 | -6.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.1 | +11.6 | -3.3 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.3 | -1.8 | +2.9 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +6.8 | +4.0 | -10.1 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +12.0 | +2.1 | -6.1 | -8.1 |