Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/22 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+118.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 5 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +31.3 | -29.3 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 10% | 21% | 21% | -5.0 | +4.6 | -2.7 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 11% | 21% | 25% | -0.2 | +5.2 | -0.5 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,000 | 44% | 13% | 21% | 21% | -7.1 | +14.0 | -3.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara | 38% | 22% | 21% | 20% | +1.9 | +8.9 | +0.2 | -11.0 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 26% | 20% | 14% | +34.9 | -18.3 | -10.9 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 76% | 9% | 9% | 7% | +1.6 | +3.1 | -15.7 | +11.0 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 78% | 9% | 3% | 11% | -5.1 | -3.2 | +0.9 | +7.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 9% | 5% | 14% | +16.8 | -3.4 | -1.9 | -11.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 3% | 2% | 4% | +15.6 | -4.2 | -6.7 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 97% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +19.5 | -6.4 | -6.1 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.6 | +12.3 | -5.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.3 | -1.4 | +3.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +6.5 | +3.4 | -10.1 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +12.1 | +2.6 | -6.2 | -8.4 |