Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/23 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -19.2 | -6.6 | -7.4 | +33.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 18% | 18% | 52% | -2.2 | +7.6 | -2.3 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 11% | 23% | 18% | 48% | -10.1 | -2.2 | -3.4 | +15.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 5% | 17% | 13% | 65% | -1.2 | -3.6 | +7.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 15% | 17% | 62% | -3.7 | -0.2 | -3.4 | +7.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 4% | 14% | 12% | 70% | +37.9 | -1.6 | -2.3 | -34.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 19% | 17% | 37% | -17.1 | +27.3 | -5.9 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 13% | 40% | 14% | 33% | +0.5 | -10.9 | -3.4 | +13.9 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 27% | 13% | 46% | -9.0 | +37.7 | -17.4 | -11.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 79% | 0% | 18% | +5.0 | -3.9 | -4.6 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 74% | 0% | 22% | -6.6 | -31.9 | -6.1 | +44.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 5% | 0% | 95% | +1.6 | +8.1 | -10.8 | +1.0 |