Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/23 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +11.3 | -8.9 | -3.9 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 32% | 19% | 23% | 26% | +0.1 | +15.2 | -14.3 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 31% | 28% | 16% | 25% | -0.2 | +6.6 | -6.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 33% | 13% | 24% | -1.4 | -5.0 | +6.9 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 31% | 29% | 16% | 24% | -34.8 | -2.3 | +36.7 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori | 10% | 26% | 41% | 24% | +0.7 | -18.8 | +20.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 13% | 60% | 19% | -3.1 | +5.4 | -2.2 | 0.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 14% | 58% | 21% | -6.0 | -4.0 | +24.6 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 3% | 6% | 86% | 5% | -21.3 | +19.9 | +1.2 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 9% | 86% | 5% | -2.9 | +12.9 | -5.1 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 19% | 79% | 3% | -1.4 | -9.5 | +10.3 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 94% | 2% | +10.1 | -1.5 | -4.4 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -15.9 | -3.4 | -2.0 | +21.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | +5.5 | +5.2 | -1.6 | -9.1 |