Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series

4/23 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +37.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Hisato Sasaki● Kazunori Takizawa● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Takaharu● Hisato● Kazunori● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa26%25%25%25%+11.8-11.00.0-0.8
East 1, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi33%19%24%24%-3.0+15.6-14.2+1.6
East 2Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi30%29%16%25%-1.1+7.4-7.8+1.5
East 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 2,70027%33%13%27%+1.1-4.2+7.5-4.5
East 3Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki31%31%15%23%-36.4-3.1+37.6+1.9
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa9%25%42%23%+2.3-20.0+19.0-1.3
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw9%13%60%19%-2.9+6.1-1.7-1.5
East 4, 3 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0007%15%60%19%-8.0-5.2+25.9-12.7
South 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki2%4%89%5%-19.3+20.8-0.9-0.6
South 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,0000%9%87%4%-2.9+12.5-5.6-4.0
South 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa0%18%79%3%-1.6-8.3+10.1-0.2
South 3Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,0000%4%93%2%+9.8-2.3-3.7-3.8
South 4Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki0%2%97%2%-15.6-3.7-2.2+21.5
South 4, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi0%2%92%7%+5.6+5.4-1.4-9.6

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)