Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/27 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +22.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -14.4 | -3.4 | +22.2 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,200 | 15% | 21% | 41% | 23% | -2.8 | -8.0 | +12.2 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 14% | 53% | 19% | -6.4 | -5.0 | +19.8 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 9% | 72% | 11% | -3.2 | +10.8 | -5.6 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 7% | 14% | 68% | 11% | +20.7 | -0.2 | +2.7 | -23.2 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 18,000 from Mari Takamiya | 12% | 12% | 73% | 3% | +44.6 | -3.5 | -12.7 | -28.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 7% | 45% | 0% | -8.1 | -4.0 | +1.5 | +10.5 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 8% | 51% | 1% | -6.9 | -8.4 | +17.3 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 22% | 1% | 77% | 1% | -18.7 | +0.7 | +5.9 | +12.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 96% | 1% | -0.9 | -1.6 | -1.2 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 0% | 94% | 2% | -4.1 | -9.9 | -3.3 | +17.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 0% | 93% | 5% | +4.6 | +11.0 | +2.1 | -17.7 |