Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/27 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +20.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -11.2 | -6.4 | +20.6 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,200 | 16% | 20% | 41% | 22% | -2.8 | -5.7 | +11.8 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 15% | 52% | 19% | -7.3 | -6.9 | +19.6 | -5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 8% | 72% | 12% | -4.6 | +12.3 | -4.3 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 6% | 13% | 68% | 12% | +21.1 | -0.1 | +1.5 | -22.6 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari | 13% | 11% | 72% | 4% | +44.3 | -4.0 | -11.0 | -29.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 7% | 46% | 0% | -8.6 | -2.9 | +1.6 | +9.9 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 8% | 53% | 1% | -5.3 | -8.5 | +15.8 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 23% | 1% | 76% | 1% | -19.2 | +1.4 | +6.4 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 0% | 96% | 1% | -0.9 | -2.5 | -1.2 | +4.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 0% | 95% | 2% | -4.1 | -9.4 | -2.9 | +16.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 0% | 94% | 4% | +4.7 | +10.6 | +1.4 | -16.7 |