Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/27 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +59.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +6.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -8.9 | -5.0 | +15.3 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 22% | 20% | 35% | 23% | -2.5 | +4.9 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 21% | 23% | 34% | 22% | +2.4 | -23.4 | +0.4 | +20.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 10% | 33% | 35% | -4.7 | -1.2 | -5.1 | +11.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 9% | 26% | 47% | -5.4 | +21.5 | -4.8 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 17% | 20% | 25% | 38% | -7.3 | +0.7 | +7.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 22% | 30% | 37% | +1.7 | +2.6 | +6.0 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 23% | 36% | 28% | -16.2 | +59.1 | -22.7 | -20.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 84% | 9% | 7% | -23.8 | -3.0 | -3.9 | +30.8 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 78% | 6% | 17% | 0.0 | +3.3 | -5.6 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 86% | 1% | 14% | +8.8 | +6.0 | -8.8 | -6.0 |