Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/27 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +58.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +5.4 | -2.8 | -1.4 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 24% | -7.0 | -3.6 | +13.0 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,500 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 21% | 33% | 22% | -5.4 | +3.3 | +1.2 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 20% | 23% | 34% | 23% | +2.2 | -24.9 | +1.9 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 9% | 35% | 36% | -3.3 | +1.6 | -7.3 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 10% | 27% | 46% | -8.7 | +24.3 | -3.6 | -12.0 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,500 | 14% | 23% | 27% | 37% | -4.9 | -1.9 | +5.6 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 20% | 31% | 38% | +0.4 | +2.2 | +6.9 | -9.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 23% | 37% | 29% | -13.6 | +58.6 | -23.4 | -21.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 2% | 83% | 9% | 7% | -24.3 | -3.9 | -2.4 | +30.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 76% | 7% | 17% | -0.3 | +2.7 | -7.1 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 83% | 0% | 17% | +9.1 | +7.4 | -8.5 | -8.0 |