Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/29 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+70.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -9.6 | -2.3 | +13.2 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 22% | 37% | 24% | 0.0 | -8.6 | -4.0 | +12.5 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 15% | 33% | 33% | -9.4 | -9.4 | -25.2 | +44.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 9% | 6% | 8% | 77% | -5.7 | +8.3 | -0.7 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 8% | 8% | 77% | -6.6 | -4.8 | +10.8 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 7% | 11% | 80% | -2.5 | -13.6 | -1.2 | +17.3 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +3.6 | -23.1 | +22.6 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -0.3 | +0.3 | +39.8 | -39.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 76% | 24% | -6.6 | +13.0 | -2.7 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 6,400 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 0% | 81% | 19% | +7.3 | -6.9 | +15.5 | -16.0 |