Game · 2020-21 Semifinals
4/29 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+113.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 32,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +75.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +3.2 | -1.3 | +0.6 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 32,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -36.7 | -19.0 | +75.4 | -19.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 5% | 89% | 5% | -1.1 | -5.7 | +8.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -2.2 | -2.4 | +7.3 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -3.9 | +1.6 | -1.5 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -2.6 | -2.1 | +14.9 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -17.5 | +4.3 | +7.8 | +5.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.5 | +3.5 | +1.5 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.9 | -15.1 | -2.1 | +22.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.7 | -1.5 | -1.7 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 24,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -26.9 | -0.2 | -0.6 | +27.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | -1.3 | +2.7 | -1.4 |