Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/29 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+113.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 32,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +73.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +2.8 | -3.6 | +3.9 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 32,000 | 27% | 22% | 26% | 24% | -38.2 | -15.5 | +73.0 | -19.3 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 5% | 89% | 4% | +0.4 | -6.8 | +8.4 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 95% | 2% | -3.6 | -4.1 | +9.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -3.3 | +2.3 | -2.0 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -1.3 | -2.2 | +13.6 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -18.4 | +4.8 | +8.4 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +1.1 | +4.2 | +1.8 | -7.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.0 | -15.8 | -2.7 | +24.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.4 | -1.1 | -1.4 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 24,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -26.7 | -0.2 | -0.5 | +27.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0.0 | -1.4 | +2.5 | -1.2 |