Game · 2020-21 Semifinals

4/30 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +26.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change	Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change
East 1	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho	24%	26%	26%	24%	+8.6	+1.0	-10.0	+0.4
East 1, 1 honba	Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro	31%	25%	18%	25%	-2.8	-8.7	-0.6	+12.2
East 2	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro	27%	20%	19%	34%	+8.7	-9.6	-1.1	+2.0
East 3	Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800	35%	12%	18%	35%	-8.8	-3.6	+22.3	-10.0
East 3, 1 honba	Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	28%	12%	33%	27%	-26.4	+25.3	-0.3	+1.4
East 4	Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100	12%	28%	32%	28%	-0.8	-0.7	+7.3	-5.9
South 1	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800	12%	26%	39%	23%	+24.4	-7.9	-6.5	-9.9
South 1, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800	27%	22%	34%	18%	+25.4	-9.2	-10.5	-5.6
South 1, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori	48%	15%	23%	14%	+23.6	+1.4	-2.3	-22.7
South 1, 3 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	73%	10%	13%	4%	-8.0	-0.9	+10.8	-2.0
South 2	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000	66%	9%	21%	4%	+26.8	-17.2	-6.7	-2.9
South 3	Draw	94%	0%	5%	1%	+1.8	-0.4	-2.6	+1.2
South 4, 1 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	99%	0%	0%	1%	+0.2	+3.5	+13.5	-17.2

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)