Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series

4/30 Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +27.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance	Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change	Sho Shiratori Expected pt change	Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change
East 1	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori	25%	26%	25%	25%	+8.7	-0.9	-6.4	-1.3
East 1, 1 honba	Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki	31%	25%	21%	23%	-4.5	-6.4	-3.8	+14.6
East 2	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki	26%	21%	19%	35%	+10.9	-10.2	+0.2	-0.8
East 3	Sho Shiratori tsumo 7,800	35%	14%	18%	33%	-7.0	-3.9	+21.0	-10.1
East 3, 1 honba	Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	30%	13%	32%	25%	-27.6	+24.3	-0.1	+3.5
East 4	Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100	13%	27%	32%	29%	-2.7	-0.3	+7.8	-4.9
South 1	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800	12%	25%	38%	25%	+23.0	-7.0	-6.2	-9.8
South 1, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800	24%	22%	35%	18%	+27.7	-8.4	-11.5	-7.8
South 1, 2 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa	49%	15%	22%	14%	+22.6	-1.2	-0.4	-21.0
South 1, 3 honba	Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	72%	9%	15%	4%	-6.2	-0.2	+8.2	-1.7
South 2	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000	67%	9%	20%	3%	+26.1	-16.1	-5.6	-4.4
South 3	Exhaustive draw	95%	0%	5%	1%	+1.2	-0.3	-3.1	+2.2
South 4, 1 honba	Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	99%	0%	0%	1%	+0.4	+3.2	+13.7	-17.3

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)