Game · 2020-21 Semifinal Series
4/30 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 26% | 26% | 26% | -1.5 | +4.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 29% | 24% | 24% | -4.2 | +4.7 | -5.0 | +4.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 19% | 31% | 22% | 28% | -4.5 | -1.9 | -1.9 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 29% | 20% | 33% | -1.5 | +8.6 | -5.8 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 37% | 15% | 32% | +4.6 | -4.4 | -3.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 18% | 32% | 14% | 35% | +8.9 | -8.0 | -1.2 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 14% | 35% | +41.5 | -12.2 | -11.9 | -17.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 63% | 14% | 7% | 17% | +0.3 | -12.3 | +10.3 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 9% | 10% | 16% | +4.1 | -6.5 | -4.0 | +6.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 73% | 3% | 8% | 16% | -9.2 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 61% | 4% | 10% | 25% | +2.8 | +18.6 | -16.6 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 71% | 8% | 2% | 19% | +12.1 | +13.2 | -5.4 | -19.9 |