Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/6 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -2.2 | -30.0 | +31.3 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 18% | 10% | 48% | 23% | -4.2 | -4.2 | +9.3 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 6% | 57% | 21% | +0.9 | +0.4 | -1.9 | +0.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 16% | 7% | 56% | 21% | -20.0 | +1.2 | +21.6 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 3% | 82% | 11% | -9.3 | -1.0 | +2.5 | +7.7 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 3% | 86% | 11% | +15.9 | -8.3 | +3.7 | -11.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -4.3 | +4.2 | -1.4 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -21.8 | +11.4 | +5.6 | +4.8 |