Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/6 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -0.1 | -28.3 | +31.9 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 20% | 10% | 50% | 21% | -6.4 | -3.3 | +6.1 | +3.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 7% | 55% | 23% | +0.3 | -0.8 | +2.2 | -1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 15% | 6% | 59% | 21% | -20.8 | +2.1 | +19.9 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 4% | 82% | 10% | -8.2 | -1.5 | +1.7 | +8.1 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 1% | 3% | 85% | 11% | +16.6 | -8.4 | +3.5 | -11.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -5.3 | +4.3 | -0.5 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -21.2 | +11.3 | +5.7 | +4.2 |