Game · 2023-24 Final Series

5/6 Game 2

Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+81.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +30.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance	Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance	Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change	Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change	Go Kobayashi Expected pt change
East 1	Rumi Nikaido ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki	25%	24%	26%	25%	+20.9	+0.8	-21.4	-0.4
East 1, 1 honba	Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200	40%	24%	14%	23%	-8.8	-2.6	-3.5	+14.8
East 2	Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido	32%	22%	12%	34%	-15.7	-2.9	+2.7	+16.0
East 3	Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki	20%	18%	12%	51%	-1.3	+6.9	-8.0	+2.4
East 4	Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200	18%	21%	8%	53%	+20.6	-4.9	-6.8	-8.9
South 1	Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000	33%	18%	6%	44%	-14.3	-6.4	+20.2	+0.5
South 2	Rumi Nikaido tsumo 2,000	22%	17%	14%	47%	+15.1	-10.2	-4.2	-0.7
South 3	Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki	34%	9%	12%	45%	-6.5	+1.7	-25.4	+30.2
South 4	Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800	9%	2%	0%	89%	-6.0	-3.7	-2.4	+12.1
South 4, 1 honba	Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki	1%	0%	0%	99%	-0.2	+0.9	-4.4	+3.7
South 4, 2 honba	Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Rumi Nikaido	0%	0%	0%	100%	-5.3	+1.8	-1.3	+4.8
South 4, 3 honba	Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000	0%	0%	0%	100%	-1.1	-1.2	-1.3	+3.7
South 4, 4 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	0%	0%	100%	-1.4	-0.1	-0.8	+2.3
South 4, 5 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	0%	0%	100%	+3.4	-2.9	-0.5	0.0

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)