Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/6 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+81.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +20.4 | -2.1 | -18.5 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 24% | 13% | 24% | -11.2 | -2.6 | -1.3 | +15.1 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 31% | 22% | 12% | 35% | -11.6 | -3.5 | +0.2 | +15.0 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 18% | 12% | 49% | -2.2 | +5.1 | -5.6 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 19% | 9% | 54% | +19.3 | -3.3 | -7.2 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 18% | 7% | 42% | -13.0 | -5.3 | +18.5 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 17% | 14% | 45% | +13.4 | -10.8 | -3.1 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 34% | 9% | 13% | 45% | -5.0 | +1.5 | -26.7 | +30.2 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 10% | 2% | 0% | 89% | -7.0 | -3.0 | -2.6 | +12.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +0.1 | +1.0 | -4.4 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.7 | +1.2 | -0.7 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.6 | -0.6 | -2.1 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.9 | -1.4 | 0.0 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.8 | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 |