Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/7 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +54.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -11.0 | +3.9 | +3.5 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 16% | 27% | 29% | 27% | +41.2 | -35.6 | -3.5 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 48% | 8% | 21% | 23% | +2.6 | -0.7 | -8.6 | +6.7 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 7% | 15% | 27% | -5.0 | -7.9 | +25.0 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 45% | 5% | 32% | 18% | -2.5 | -2.4 | -3.4 | +8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 43% | 4% | 28% | 25% | +1.8 | -5.4 | +17.5 | -13.9 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 0% | 46% | 12% | -14.5 | -4.9 | -35.1 | +54.6 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya | 17% | 0% | 8% | 75% | -0.4 | 0.0 | -4.0 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 14% | 0% | 6% | 80% | -5.1 | -12.7 | -1.8 | +19.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +4.4 | -1.1 | -3.4 | +0.1 |