Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/7 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +55.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -10.4 | +2.9 | +5.2 | +2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 18% | 28% | 27% | 28% | +41.5 | -37.0 | -5.2 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 50% | 7% | 19% | 24% | +1.4 | -1.2 | -6.5 | +6.3 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 6% | 15% | 29% | -4.4 | -4.4 | +23.4 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 5% | 32% | 17% | -3.7 | -4.9 | -1.0 | +9.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 42% | 4% | 30% | 24% | +2.4 | -4.1 | +15.2 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 1% | 43% | 13% | -14.7 | -5.9 | -34.7 | +55.2 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Takaya Matsugase | 16% | 0% | 6% | 77% | +0.3 | -0.1 | -3.2 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 15% | 0% | 5% | 80% | -5.3 | -12.7 | -2.0 | +20.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 0% | 98% | +4.3 | -1.1 | -2.8 | -0.4 |