Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/9 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | -14.0 | -7.6 | +25.0 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 16% | 20% | 41% | 23% | +1.5 | -21.8 | +2.0 | +18.3 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 9% | 42% | 35% | -9.9 | -7.9 | +28.0 | -10.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 4% | 70% | 19% | -9.5 | +31.2 | -13.2 | -8.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 17% | 59% | 19% | +3.7 | -2.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 15% | 58% | 19% | -2.0 | -13.4 | +19.0 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 4% | 6% | 80% | 10% | +6.9 | -3.5 | -2.6 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 7% | 5% | 78% | 10% | +30.5 | -25.4 | -2.9 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 2% | 72% | 9% | -11.0 | -3.7 | +0.1 | +14.6 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 1% | 74% | 16% | -18.9 | +42.0 | -9.6 | -13.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 12% | 67% | 14% | -6.7 | +22.2 | -8.0 | -7.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 28% | 56% | 12% | -5.3 | -17.6 | +28.4 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 1% | 3% | 93% | 4% | -6.8 | -6.5 | -16.1 | +29.3 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 4% | 80% | 16% | -5.6 | +20.5 | +8.5 | -23.4 |