Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/10 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +58.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,200 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.9 | -2.1 | -3.2 | +8.2 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000 | 22% | 23% | 23% | 32% | -21.0 | +58.9 | -19.0 | -18.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 73% | 9% | 12% | +19.3 | -8.3 | -5.5 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 66% | 8% | 12% | +11.0 | +2.2 | -12.0 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 18% | 70% | 3% | 10% | -14.7 | -0.5 | +0.9 | +14.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 11% | 70% | 4% | 15% | -0.2 | +3.5 | +3.7 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 10% | 77% | 4% | 10% | -24.4 | +3.7 | +22.5 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 2% | 83% | 7% | 8% | -0.4 | -0.2 | +24.2 | -23.6 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 84% | 13% | 2% | 0.0 | -1.8 | +3.8 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 81% | 16% | 3% | +9.4 | +6.0 | -4.5 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 93% | 5% | 1% | +2.1 | +4.0 | -0.7 | -5.5 |