Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/10 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+65.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +57.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 3,200 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -3.8 | -1.6 | -1.9 | +7.4 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000 | 21% | 23% | 25% | 31% | -18.5 | +57.3 | -19.8 | -19.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 72% | 9% | 12% | +18.5 | -7.3 | -7.3 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 15% | 66% | 7% | 12% | +9.8 | +1.8 | -10.1 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,800 from Yu Suzuki | 17% | 68% | 4% | 10% | -14.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | +14.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 12% | 69% | 3% | 16% | +0.2 | +5.0 | +3.9 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 10% | 76% | 4% | 10% | -25.8 | +3.5 | +24.2 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 84% | 7% | 7% | -0.5 | -1.9 | +24.0 | -21.6 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 81% | 15% | 3% | -1.0 | 0.0 | +3.4 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 81% | 17% | 2% | +10.4 | +4.9 | -4.4 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 92% | 6% | 2% | +2.5 | +4.7 | -1.2 | -6.0 |