Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/10 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +4.0 | +3.8 | -3.2 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 27% | 23% | 22% | -11.9 | +22.0 | -7.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 45% | 18% | 20% | -3.5 | +12.1 | +1.6 | -10.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 55% | 16% | 14% | -9.8 | -15.7 | -8.3 | +33.8 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 40% | 14% | 35% | -1.1 | +0.1 | -5.9 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 11% | 39% | 10% | 40% | -0.1 | +22.0 | -18.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,500 from Hori Shingo | 7% | 61% | 3% | 29% | +4.6 | +0.4 | -3.9 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 62% | 3% | 27% | -11.4 | -11.1 | -3.4 | +25.9 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 40% | 1% | 57% | -7.1 | -12.9 | +16.5 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 25% | 4% | 70% | +21.2 | +20.3 | -11.6 | -30.0 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Watanabe Futoshi | 4% | 71% | 0% | 24% | -18.0 | -18.4 | +5.5 | +30.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 18,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 23% | 0% | 76% | +7.5 | -45.2 | +8.0 | +29.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -22.8 | -2.7 | +26.9 | -1.4 |