Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/13 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +29.4 | -9.3 | -9.7 | -10.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 49% | 17% | 17% | 18% | -4.0 | +1.2 | +23.6 | -20.8 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 44% | 17% | 30% | 9% | +20.1 | -4.7 | -1.6 | -13.8 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 63% | 10% | 23% | 4% | -1.0 | -0.9 | -5.7 | +7.6 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 64% | 10% | 19% | 6% | -2.6 | -8.8 | -7.5 | +18.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 63% | 8% | 17% | 12% | +8.9 | -7.8 | +0.7 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 5% | 14% | 6% | -10.2 | -7.9 | -4.2 | +22.3 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,700 | 64% | 4% | 14% | 18% | +12.3 | -6.6 | -4.7 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 81% | 0% | 8% | 11% | +6.1 | -1.9 | -3.7 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | +3.4 | -2.7 | +20.4 | -21.1 |