Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/13 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +29.5 | -10.9 | -9.7 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 47% | 18% | 18% | 17% | -0.4 | -0.8 | +22.1 | -20.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 46% | 17% | 29% | 8% | +16.2 | -3.2 | -0.9 | -12.1 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 9% | 24% | 4% | +1.7 | -2.0 | -7.1 | +7.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 67% | 9% | 18% | 7% | -5.3 | -9.5 | -3.5 | +18.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 62% | 8% | 18% | 12% | +8.3 | -6.5 | +0.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 72% | 4% | 16% | 8% | -7.6 | -7.2 | -7.4 | +22.2 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,700 | 66% | 4% | 12% | 18% | +12.0 | -6.2 | -5.3 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 83% | 0% | 7% | 11% | +5.2 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | +3.8 | -2.6 | +20.3 | -21.5 |