Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/13 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -12.9 | +21.5 | -4.0 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% | +0.8 | -7.9 | +7.0 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 35% | 26% | 23% | -9.3 | -11.9 | +32.9 | -11.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 22% | 53% | 15% | +23.8 | -5.5 | -10.1 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 24% | 20% | 43% | 13% | -2.7 | -0.6 | +24.1 | -20.8 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 16% | 13% | 69% | 3% | +28.1 | -2.8 | -7.0 | -18.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 36% | 10% | 53% | 1% | -9.6 | -23.4 | +30.3 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 1% | 90% | 0% | +17.5 | -6.0 | -7.3 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 25% | 0% | 75% | 0% | +2.3 | -0.7 | -2.4 | +0.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 0% | 74% | 0% | -10.4 | +1.6 | +12.9 | -4.1 |