Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/13 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | +21.4 | -5.8 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | +1.0 | -8.2 | +5.4 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 34% | 24% | 23% | -9.8 | -14.7 | +34.4 | -9.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 20% | 53% | 16% | +21.9 | -2.0 | -10.3 | -9.6 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 25% | 20% | 43% | 13% | -3.5 | -1.1 | +25.2 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 15% | 12% | 70% | 3% | +28.7 | -3.2 | -6.9 | -18.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 35% | 10% | 54% | 1% | -8.2 | -23.0 | +29.3 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 2% | 88% | 0% | +16.7 | -6.0 | -7.2 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 0% | 75% | 0% | +3.7 | -0.5 | -3.4 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 28% | 0% | 72% | 0% | -11.6 | +1.6 | +14.1 | -4.1 |