Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/14 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+69.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -5.1 | +6.8 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 21% | 30% | 24% | 26% | +1.5 | 0.0 | -21.3 | +19.7 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 20% | 28% | 13% | 40% | -6.9 | +9.6 | -3.7 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 35% | 9% | 40% | -4.4 | -0.4 | +10.3 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 14% | 36% | 14% | 36% | -5.6 | +12.0 | -4.6 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,100 | 10% | 48% | 11% | 31% | -2.1 | +8.0 | -1.8 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 57% | 9% | 26% | -3.8 | +1.1 | +6.8 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 6% | 62% | 11% | 21% | +1.7 | -5.0 | +41.9 | -38.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,500 from Nakabayashi Kei | 4% | 50% | 41% | 5% | -0.2 | -10.2 | +10.2 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 34% | 58% | 6% | -12.1 | -4.1 | +13.2 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 20% | 76% | 4% | -7.9 | -2.5 | -0.5 | +10.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 14% | 80% | 6% | -6.5 | -16.1 | -8.8 | +31.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 11% | 70% | 19% | -3.8 | -2.2 | -3.4 | +9.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 10% | 63% | 27% | +0.7 | -2.9 | -8.9 | +11.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 9% | 43% | 47% | -2.6 | -2.3 | -11.1 | +16.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 6% | 19% | 75% | +0.4 | +11.3 | -35.1 | +23.4 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.6 | +7.3 | -3.2 | -2.5 |