Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/14 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 25% | 22% | 27% | -16.8 | +16.0 | +3.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 36% | 26% | 24% | -2.9 | +6.3 | -4.2 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 40% | 22% | 25% | -7.5 | -22.9 | -6.9 | +37.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 18% | 16% | 57% | -2.4 | -0.3 | +5.3 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 19% | 20% | 54% | -2.2 | +3.1 | +2.6 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 21% | 21% | 51% | -4.1 | +8.1 | -1.9 | -2.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 6% | 28% | 19% | 47% | -13.2 | +18.0 | -2.3 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 43% | 13% | 42% | -5.5 | -2.6 | -2.5 | +10.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 36% | 10% | 54% | +2.6 | +5.8 | -3.2 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 44% | 10% | 46% | -2.2 | -10.9 | +8.0 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 30% | 13% | 56% | -2.7 | +31.9 | -14.1 | -15.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 79% | 1% | 21% | +0.2 | -47.0 | +1.9 | +44.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 98% | +7.9 | +0.9 | -4.5 | -4.3 |