Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/14 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +45.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -16.3 | +16.7 | +0.7 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 38% | 24% | 24% | -1.1 | +4.8 | -3.5 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 41% | 21% | 24% | -10.2 | -21.1 | -6.8 | +38.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 7% | 20% | 15% | 58% | -1.4 | -3.0 | +7.5 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 19% | 20% | 53% | -4.2 | +4.8 | +4.4 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 6% | 23% | 23% | 48% | -2.1 | +8.8 | -6.3 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 6% | 29% | 18% | 48% | -11.3 | +16.3 | -0.4 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 3% | 43% | 16% | 39% | -6.1 | -3.1 | -2.9 | +12.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 36% | 11% | 53% | +0.5 | +7.2 | -1.9 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 45% | 11% | 44% | -1.2 | -11.0 | +6.5 | +5.7 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 32% | 13% | 55% | -2.8 | +31.8 | -14.1 | -14.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 80% | 1% | 20% | -0.1 | -48.0 | +2.4 | +45.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +8.3 | +1.6 | -4.8 | -5.1 |