Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/16 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -12.5 | -6.6 | +22.0 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 17% | 21% | 41% | 21% | -27.4 | +29.3 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 40% | 36% | 19% | -3.9 | +19.0 | -7.3 | -7.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 58% | 25% | 13% | -1.2 | +2.3 | -3.3 | +2.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 60% | 24% | 14% | -5.2 | -0.2 | +5.0 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 60% | 25% | 13% | -3.7 | +0.1 | -7.9 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 63% | 18% | 17% | +2.5 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 64% | 19% | 15% | -5.8 | +5.7 | -3.8 | +3.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 73% | 13% | 14% | +24.2 | -8.1 | -8.2 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 2% | 72% | 11% | 14% | -2.6 | -0.1 | +13.3 | -10.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 72% | 17% | 10% | -4.5 | +5.8 | -5.1 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 85% | 5% | 10% | -5.3 | +6.3 | +5.9 | -6.9 |