Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/16 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.0 | -5.2 | +22.4 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 16% | 21% | 40% | 23% | -28.1 | +31.3 | -1.8 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 43% | 35% | 18% | -3.7 | +17.4 | -8.1 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 58% | 25% | 14% | -3.0 | +4.8 | -2.6 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 2% | 62% | 22% | 13% | -3.3 | -2.3 | +6.6 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 2% | 61% | 25% | 12% | -4.1 | -0.2 | -10.2 | +14.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 62% | 18% | 19% | +2.6 | +1.3 | +0.8 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 65% | 18% | 15% | -5.5 | +6.5 | -2.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 74% | 14% | 12% | +23.6 | -9.0 | -8.7 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 2% | 72% | 12% | 14% | -1.9 | +0.7 | +12.3 | -11.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 73% | 16% | 10% | -5.9 | +5.0 | -3.8 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 85% | 5% | 10% | -4.0 | +6.1 | +4.9 | -7.1 |