Game · 2023-24 Final Series
5/17 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+45.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -3.1 | -24.0 | +25.8 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 12% | 43% | 24% | -15.2 | +47.3 | -16.4 | -15.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 42% | 29% | 16% | -4.3 | -12.6 | +22.6 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 29% | 48% | 12% | -7.4 | -3.1 | -11.6 | +22.1 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 9% | 28% | 38% | 26% | -0.1 | -3.1 | +5.8 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 9% | 24% | 45% | 22% | -4.6 | -6.7 | +3.7 | +7.6 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 4% | 20% | 49% | 27% | +12.2 | -1.4 | -14.5 | +3.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 20% | 35% | 34% | -9.6 | +34.9 | -16.1 | -9.1 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 6% | 61% | 13% | 20% | -4.8 | -46.4 | +7.4 | +43.8 |