Game · 2023-24 Finals
5/17 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+45.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.2 | -21.0 | +25.2 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 12% | 42% | 25% | -14.3 | +44.9 | -16.6 | -14.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 41% | 29% | 16% | -6.0 | -11.1 | +23.8 | -6.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 29% | 49% | 12% | -5.4 | -5.3 | -11.1 | +21.7 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 9% | 27% | 39% | 24% | -0.7 | -3.5 | +7.2 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 8% | 23% | 47% | 21% | -4.8 | -5.2 | +1.4 | +8.7 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 19% | 49% | 26% | +12.8 | -1.1 | -13.8 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 21% | 35% | 31% | -10.0 | +34.0 | -15.2 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 5% | 61% | 15% | 19% | -5.0 | -45.8 | +6.1 | +44.8 |