Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/4 Game 1
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +14.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -4.4 | +4.9 | +2.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 28% | 27% | 25% | -0.9 | -11.0 | +14.7 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 20% | 39% | 22% | +4.7 | -0.1 | -4.1 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 23% | 19% | 35% | 23% | -0.2 | -20.2 | -2.0 | +22.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 22% | 9% | 31% | 38% | -0.6 | -4.4 | +6.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 21% | 7% | 37% | 35% | -8.5 | -2.3 | +7.7 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 12% | 6% | 45% | 37% | -3.4 | -4.7 | +8.5 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 2% | 56% | 33% | -1.8 | -1.2 | +5.5 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 7% | 1% | 63% | 29% | -9.1 | -2.1 | +3.0 | +8.2 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 71% | 29% | -24.8 | +24.0 | +12.6 | -11.9 |