Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/5 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 6,400 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -18.7 | +18.5 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Tojyo Rio | 14% | 36% | 25% | 26% | +2.3 | +22.6 | -20.6 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 13% | 57% | 11% | 19% | -1.3 | -1.6 | -10.5 | +13.3 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 55% | 8% | 26% | -6.7 | -5.1 | +18.7 | -6.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 51% | 16% | 23% | -4.9 | -4.8 | +5.7 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 9,600 from Nikaido Aki | 8% | 47% | 18% | 27% | +1.6 | +0.2 | +27.4 | -29.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 44% | 37% | 11% | -7.2 | +32.3 | -19.3 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 3% | 80% | 12% | 5% | +2.0 | +6.6 | +1.8 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 86% | 9% | 2% | -13.3 | -7.8 | +24.0 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 74% | 25% | 1% | -0.5 | +5.3 | -3.0 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 80% | 19% | 1% | -2.6 | -28.9 | +35.9 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 27% | 72% | 1% | -7.9 | +19.0 | -29.1 | +18.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 73% | 26% | 1% | -2.3 | +14.1 | -9.3 | -2.6 |