Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/5 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 6,400 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -18.3 | +16.7 | +0.6 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Rio Tojyo | 14% | 37% | 24% | 25% | -0.4 | +22.5 | -19.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 11% | 56% | 12% | 21% | +1.5 | -0.2 | -9.9 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 7,800 | 10% | 57% | 9% | 24% | -8.0 | -5.6 | +16.7 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 51% | 15% | 25% | -0.8 | -4.8 | +2.7 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 9,600 from Aki Nikaido | 9% | 46% | 17% | 27% | -2.1 | -1.2 | +30.8 | -27.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 43% | 37% | 11% | -5.5 | +33.0 | -19.4 | -8.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 80% | 12% | 5% | +0.4 | +7.4 | +1.7 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 87% | 9% | 2% | -11.7 | -7.4 | +23.8 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 75% | 24% | 1% | -1.6 | +3.7 | -2.0 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 79% | 20% | 1% | -2.4 | -27.9 | +34.6 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 28% | 72% | 0% | -7.6 | +19.0 | -28.7 | +17.2 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 74% | 25% | 1% | -2.1 | +13.5 | -9.0 | -2.4 |