Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -7.5 | -4.5 | -2.8 | +14.8 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 19% | 22% | 24% | 35% | +1.4 | -23.5 | +20.9 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 9% | 37% | 35% | -2.9 | +0.3 | +6.5 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 17% | 10% | 43% | 31% | -1.5 | -25.7 | +30.0 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 2% | 70% | 20% | +4.0 | +1.1 | +2.1 | -7.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 1% | 73% | 16% | -5.7 | -2.7 | +12.7 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Yuumi Uotani | 5% | 1% | 84% | 9% | +13.7 | -10.6 | -1.1 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 0% | 84% | 8% | +25.5 | -3.8 | -6.1 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 0% | 76% | 3% | +5.9 | +0.3 | -5.0 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 0% | 68% | 3% | -6.3 | -2.0 | +9.5 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 16% | 0% | 82% | 2% | +17.5 | -10.8 | -7.0 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 0% | 64% | 1% | +0.1 | +9.4 | -7.9 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Rumi Nikaido | 39% | 0% | 59% | 1% | -15.0 | +3.1 | +17.1 | -5.2 |