Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+69.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.6 | -1.0 | -3.0 | +12.6 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 19% | 24% | 24% | 34% | +3.0 | -23.8 | +18.8 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 10% | 34% | 35% | -5.6 | -0.7 | +8.4 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 16% | 9% | 42% | 32% | +0.9 | -25.7 | +29.6 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 2% | 69% | 19% | +1.8 | +0.5 | +3.8 | -6.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 10% | 2% | 74% | 15% | -6.1 | -1.1 | +10.8 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 1% | 83% | 11% | +15.2 | -12.0 | -0.8 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 0% | 83% | 8% | +24.1 | -3.6 | -4.9 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 0% | 76% | 3% | +6.1 | 0.0 | -4.3 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 0% | 69% | 2% | -5.0 | -1.3 | +6.4 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 19% | 0% | 78% | 3% | +16.5 | -11.3 | -4.8 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 0% | 64% | 1% | -0.4 | +9.6 | -7.3 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 38% | 0% | 61% | 1% | -14.9 | +3.1 | +16.5 | -4.8 |