Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Aiko Hinata ron 24,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +62.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -5.3 | +5.7 | +1.1 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 30% | 25% | 24% | -17.5 | +16.4 | +0.2 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 42% | 23% | 24% | -6.0 | +21.4 | -6.2 | -9.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 61% | 16% | 16% | +18.0 | -5.6 | -5.9 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 58% | 15% | 13% | -5.9 | -6.1 | +19.4 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 51% | 26% | 11% | -10.5 | -14.2 | +32.5 | -7.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Hisato Sasaki | 7% | 30% | 55% | 8% | -0.9 | +22.9 | -21.1 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 24,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 6% | 58% | 29% | 6% | -1.2 | -2.1 | -58.8 | +62.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 5% | 52% | 4% | 40% | +20.0 | +6.5 | -3.6 | -23.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 66% | 3% | 20% | -7.4 | +2.8 | +6.3 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 72% | 4% | 18% | +29.7 | -11.9 | -9.5 | -8.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 58% | 2% | 15% | -2.5 | +3.0 | -6.1 | +5.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 18% | 66% | 0% | 16% | -18.9 | +1.5 | 0.0 | +17.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 7% | 68% | 0% | 25% | -3.6 | -20.2 | -7.5 | +31.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 19% | 0% | 79% | 0.0 | -6.5 | -0.5 | +7.0 |