Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hinata Aiko ron 24,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +61.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.2 | +4.2 | -2.6 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Daigo Hiroshi | 23% | 28% | 23% | 26% | -19.0 | +17.5 | +3.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 42% | 23% | 24% | -5.9 | +23.0 | -8.1 | -8.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 62% | 16% | 15% | +17.8 | -6.9 | -5.1 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 14% | 58% | 13% | 14% | -7.6 | -6.3 | +21.2 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 51% | 26% | 12% | -8.4 | -15.7 | +31.7 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 8% | 28% | 56% | 8% | -2.5 | +26.1 | -21.7 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 24,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 5% | 59% | 29% | 6% | +0.5 | -2.1 | -59.9 | +61.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 5% | 54% | 2% | 38% | +19.0 | +4.2 | -0.5 | -22.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 64% | 4% | 20% | -7.0 | +3.1 | +3.7 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 71% | 4% | 19% | +30.0 | -12.7 | -7.6 | -9.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 26% | 56% | 3% | 15% | -2.1 | +4.1 | -6.7 | +4.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 19% | 65% | 0% | 16% | -20.1 | +1.2 | +0.3 | +18.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 7% | 67% | 0% | 26% | -2.8 | -20.2 | -8.2 | +31.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 19% | 0% | 78% | -0.5 | -6.0 | -0.2 | +6.6 |