Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 16,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +14.7 | -0.5 | -14.2 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 35% | 24% | 17% | 23% | -1.8 | +0.5 | +4.0 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 33% | 25% | 19% | 23% | -1.4 | +32.7 | +0.7 | -32.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 48% | 16% | 7% | +0.8 | +0.2 | -6.4 | +5.5 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 50% | 12% | 8% | -12.1 | -12.2 | +33.6 | -9.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 38% | 35% | 7% | -0.6 | +1.8 | +1.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 16,000 | 20% | 39% | 36% | 5% | -11.4 | +42.8 | -24.8 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 6% | 85% | 7% | 2% | +18.6 | -14.9 | +1.1 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,700 | 18% | 69% | 11% | 1% | -5.9 | +9.6 | -3.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 83% | 7% | 1% | +3.7 | -2.1 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 83% | 8% | 1% | +0.8 | -4.3 | +4.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,200 from Asami Maki | 10% | 78% | 10% | 1% | -9.7 | +16.4 | -4.8 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Asami Maki | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -12.6 | +0.6 | +15.2 | -3.3 |