Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 16,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +13.1 | +0.1 | -13.3 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 34% | 24% | 16% | 25% | +3.0 | -1.0 | +4.9 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 37% | 24% | 19% | 21% | -3.4 | +32.0 | +1.1 | -29.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 29% | 47% | 17% | 7% | +1.1 | +0.6 | -8.3 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 48% | 13% | 9% | -11.5 | -11.1 | +33.0 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 38% | 33% | 6% | -2.9 | +2.6 | +2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 16,000 | 20% | 39% | 35% | 6% | -12.2 | +43.0 | -23.6 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 6% | 85% | 7% | 2% | +19.4 | -16.1 | -0.3 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,700 | 17% | 70% | 11% | 2% | -5.6 | +8.7 | -1.0 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 82% | 9% | 1% | +3.2 | -0.6 | -3.4 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 84% | 8% | 1% | +1.8 | -3.6 | +3.3 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,200 from Maki Asami | 11% | 79% | 9% | 1% | -9.4 | +14.8 | -3.8 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Maki Asami | 1% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -13.4 | +1.2 | +15.1 | -2.9 |