Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/9 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 23% | 26% | 23% | -19.0 | -5.9 | +29.4 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 13% | 19% | 48% | 20% | -0.7 | +6.1 | -6.3 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 14% | 23% | 42% | 21% | -11.2 | -1.7 | +14.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 8% | 17% | 58% | 17% | +6.6 | -1.5 | -3.3 | -1.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 17% | 56% | 16% | +2.0 | -2.0 | -2.2 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 18% | 52% | 19% | -13.7 | -18.2 | -20.2 | +52.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 7% | 25% | 64% | -3.2 | -4.2 | +17.7 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 5% | 42% | 49% | -10.7 | -1.3 | +21.1 | -9.1 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 3% | 68% | 28% | +1.3 | -8.4 | +8.9 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 0% | 81% | 19% | -7.9 | +4.8 | -0.8 | +3.9 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18% | -3.3 | +3.4 | +8.9 | -9.0 |