Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/9 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -16.0 | -10.0 | +31.7 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 14% | 17% | 50% | 19% | -0.9 | +9.4 | -10.0 | +1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 14% | 23% | 41% | 22% | -13.6 | -3.2 | +18.4 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 17% | 58% | 18% | +8.0 | -2.8 | -1.0 | -4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 15% | 60% | 15% | +3.4 | -3.1 | -2.2 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 15% | 57% | 16% | -13.1 | -15.1 | -24.4 | +52.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 8% | 25% | 61% | -5.2 | -3.5 | +17.6 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 5% | 42% | 49% | -10.8 | -1.1 | +22.4 | -10.4 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 70% | 26% | +2.4 | -9.5 | +7.7 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 81% | 19% | -8.2 | +4.1 | -0.9 | +5.0 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 0% | 80% | 20% | -3.5 | +4.1 | +9.5 | -10.1 |