Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+82.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -3.0 | +7.1 | +0.1 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 22% | 28% | 26% | 24% | -14.9 | +0.1 | -2.2 | +17.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 29% | 22% | 35% | -1.8 | -3.8 | +8.4 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 12% | 25% | 28% | 34% | +15.4 | +1.4 | -18.3 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 28% | 16% | 36% | -10.8 | -15.0 | -10.1 | +35.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 12% | 8% | 70% | -2.1 | -1.4 | +4.6 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 11% | 8% | 72% | +7.0 | -3.0 | -1.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 11% | 10% | 67% | +7.8 | -2.5 | -2.4 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 10% | 9% | 63% | -21.8 | -6.3 | -4.6 | +32.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 2% | 96% | -3.7 | -4.0 | +7.8 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -28.5 | +0.6 | +29.1 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | +1.2 | -0.2 | +2.9 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 91% | -3.2 | -3.7 | +14.0 | -7.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 0% | 19% | 81% | +0.8 | -3.3 | +4.7 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 25% | 75% | +2.7 | -0.6 | -5.5 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 86% | -5.3 | -4.8 | -10.2 | +20.3 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.2 | +7.4 | -0.7 | -2.5 |