Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+82.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.3 | +9.1 | +0.5 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 30% | 26% | 22% | -14.0 | -3.2 | -0.8 | +18.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 27% | 23% | 36% | -3.3 | -0.2 | +3.5 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 12% | 26% | 26% | 36% | +16.6 | +1.0 | -16.3 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 27% | 17% | 35% | -11.6 | -14.2 | -8.7 | +34.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 14% | 9% | 68% | -2.3 | -3.5 | +6.2 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 11% | 11% | 70% | +5.7 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 13% | 11% | 10% | 67% | +6.8 | -3.1 | -3.2 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 9% | 9% | 67% | -19.4 | -4.7 | -6.0 | +30.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 2% | 2% | 96% | -2.3 | -6.1 | +8.2 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 1% | 98% | -29.8 | +1.6 | +29.6 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | +1.5 | -0.4 | +3.0 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 90% | -3.8 | -3.7 | +13.9 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 0% | 19% | 81% | +1.7 | -4.1 | +5.0 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 25% | 75% | +2.4 | -0.3 | -5.9 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 86% | -4.6 | -4.8 | -10.6 | +20.0 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.8 | +7.6 | -0.3 | -2.4 |