Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/11 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+86.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +37.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -7.7 | -2.0 | +7.1 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 22% | 31% | 27% | -0.8 | +1.4 | -0.7 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 23% | 30% | 27% | -1.8 | +3.0 | -4.5 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,500 from Aiko Hinata | 20% | 25% | 26% | 29% | -8.2 | -2.7 | -1.6 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 22% | 24% | 39% | -8.1 | -10.9 | -14.9 | +33.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 11% | 9% | 72% | -4.2 | +4.4 | -2.7 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 11% | 8% | 76% | -3.7 | +4.9 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 4% | 12% | 7% | 77% | -5.9 | +34.3 | -4.1 | -24.4 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 47% | 8% | 44% | -7.8 | +37.9 | -7.6 | -22.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 91% | 2% | 7% | +1.2 | +2.5 | -4.4 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 93% | 1% | 6% | -2.9 | -1.0 | +4.7 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 95% | 1% | 4% | +1.1 | -0.4 | -4.6 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | -8.8 | +16.0 | +2.2 | -9.4 |