Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/11 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+86.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -7.7 | +0.1 | +8.3 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 25% | 30% | 26% | +0.7 | -0.7 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 23% | 32% | 26% | -2.0 | +2.8 | -4.8 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,500 from Hinata Aiko | 19% | 25% | 27% | 29% | -8.7 | -0.5 | -2.3 | +11.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 24% | 25% | 39% | -9.7 | -12.1 | -14.4 | +36.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 6% | 11% | 10% | 73% | -3.3 | +3.6 | -4.0 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Draw | 4% | 11% | 7% | 77% | -2.5 | +5.6 | -2.0 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 4% | 12% | 6% | 78% | -6.4 | +33.6 | -0.9 | -26.4 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 47% | 9% | 43% | -6.6 | +38.2 | -10.2 | -21.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 91% | 2% | 8% | +1.1 | +2.4 | -3.8 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 92% | 1% | 6% | -3.1 | -1.1 | +5.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 94% | 2% | 4% | +0.9 | -0.1 | -5.2 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 5% | -9.3 | +16.0 | +2.2 | -9.0 |