Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/12 Game 1
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+46.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 5,200, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +68.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +29.1 | -0.1 | -28.9 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 48% | 21% | 10% | 22% | -4.7 | -2.3 | +2.3 | +4.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,100 | 44% | 20% | 11% | 25% | +8.2 | -4.8 | -4.1 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 52% | 15% | 8% | 25% | -4.8 | -5.0 | +17.4 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 15% | 16% | 21% | +0.4 | -4.3 | +8.7 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 49% | 14% | 19% | 18% | +0.2 | +2.3 | -12.3 | +9.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 49% | 14% | 12% | 24% | -4.7 | +1.4 | -3.3 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 44% | 15% | 11% | 30% | +8.0 | +3.9 | -4.0 | -8.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 55% | 15% | 10% | 20% | -7.4 | -6.0 | -4.8 | +18.2 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 12% | 8% | 36% | -5.8 | -25.8 | +44.4 | -12.8 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 2% | 32% | 26% | +1.6 | +19.6 | -12.6 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 5,200 | 46% | 13% | 20% | 20% | -15.1 | +68.8 | -18.5 | -35.2 |