Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +40.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.3 | +3.3 | +4.9 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 21% | 27% | 28% | 24% | -1.0 | -26.0 | +25.3 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 10% | 50% | 22% | +13.5 | -10.6 | -1.6 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 7% | 46% | 21% | +11.1 | -2.8 | +0.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 6% | 47% | 13% | -18.0 | +34.9 | -6.4 | -10.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 22% | 23% | 43% | 12% | +1.6 | -2.6 | +2.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 18% | 45% | 13% | +40.4 | -10.4 | -21.6 | -8.3 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 77% | 6% | 10% | 8% | +11.4 | +19.9 | -18.5 | -12.7 |