Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+54.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -6.6 | +2.2 | +5.8 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 21% | 27% | 28% | 25% | +0.7 | -23.4 | +26.8 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 19% | 12% | 49% | 21% | +12.2 | -11.4 | -2.2 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 6% | 47% | 21% | +10.9 | -1.8 | -0.5 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 7% | 46% | 13% | -17.3 | +32.9 | -6.6 | -9.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 22% | 43% | 13% | +0.3 | -1.7 | +2.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 19% | 46% | 13% | +42.4 | -10.7 | -21.2 | -10.4 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 77% | 6% | 10% | 7% | +10.4 | +19.7 | -18.9 | -11.2 |