Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

1/15 Game 2

Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +59.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance	Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance	Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Shiratori Sho Expected pt change	Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change	Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	26%	27%	24%	24%	-6.2	-3.7	+8.1	+1.8
East 2, 1 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina	20%	24%	30%	27%	+2.3	-14.1	+13.4	-1.5
East 3	Uotani Yuumi tsumo 3,000	21%	15%	40%	25%	-3.4	-3.1	+8.9	-2.4
East 3, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000	17%	12%	49%	23%	-1.4	+0.3	-3.5	+4.6
East 4	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500	19%	13%	44%	25%	-3.3	-3.8	-0.7	+7.9
East 4, 1 honba	Draw	15%	10%	44%	30%	-1.9	-2.0	-5.6	+9.6
East 4, 2 honba	Mizuhara Akina ron 6,400 from Shiratori Sho	14%	11%	37%	39%	-22.1	+20.8	+3.6	-2.3
South 1	Draw	6%	19%	40%	35%	+3.2	+0.9	+2.7	-6.8
South 1, 1 honba	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200	7%	19%	44%	29%	-11.6	-8.4	-3.9	+24.0
South 2	Mizuhara Akina ron 1,500 from Shiratori Sho	2%	12%	35%	52%	-4.0	+7.5	-1.2	-2.3
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	1%	16%	33%	49%	-0.6	+2.3	-4.1	+2.3
South 2, 2 honba	Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji	1%	17%	29%	53%	+35.1	+1.0	+9.6	-45.7
South 3	Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji	14%	19%	49%	18%	+21.0	-4.5	+2.6	-19.1
South 4	Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	23%	14%	53%	10%	-21.3	+59.4	-17.5	-20.7

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)