Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +34.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 26% | 26% | 25% | -1.4 | +6.3 | -3.5 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 31% | 23% | 24% | -3.3 | +7.2 | -1.9 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 36% | 22% | 23% | -7.7 | -17.9 | +34.7 | -9.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 19% | 49% | 17% | +2.3 | +6.0 | -5.7 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 24% | 44% | 17% | +11.0 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 24% | 44% | 10% | -15.6 | -5.8 | +26.3 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 14% | 75% | 6% | -0.8 | -4.7 | +8.3 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 18,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 3% | 4% | 89% | 4% | -37.6 | +4.5 | +24.3 | +8.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +1.1 | +1.2 | +2.2 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +22.3 | -4.2 | -5.0 | -13.1 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.4 | -8.9 | -0.3 | +12.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -16.3 | -9.8 | +0.2 | +25.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -8.6 | +0.2 | -0.6 | +8.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -1.9 | -0.8 | +4.4 | -1.7 |