Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Date Arisa tsumo 8,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.4 | -0.3 | -7.5 | +9.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 26% | 21% | 30% | +8.6 | -0.8 | -8.7 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 24% | 16% | 31% | -6.7 | -6.2 | -12.0 | +24.9 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 21% | 16% | 9% | 54% | -11.6 | +14.7 | -0.2 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 14% | 27% | 8% | 51% | +5.5 | +2.3 | -3.6 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 18% | 28% | 8% | 46% | -5.4 | +6.9 | -3.9 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 6,400 from Suzuki Taro | 12% | 34% | 6% | 48% | -17.3 | -4.6 | +0.6 | +21.4 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 2% | 18% | 3% | 77% | -10.2 | -5.0 | +20.1 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 17% | 10% | 72% | +24.3 | -6.4 | -22.0 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 8% | 2% | 86% | -4.6 | +4.1 | -3.4 | +3.9 |