Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Arisa Date tsumo 8,000, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -1.9 | -1.3 | -5.5 | +8.8 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 25% | 21% | 30% | +9.0 | -3.9 | -7.0 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 22% | 17% | 32% | -6.9 | -5.3 | -12.6 | +24.8 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 15% | 9% | 55% | -12.5 | +15.7 | -0.1 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 26% | 9% | 52% | +7.7 | +2.5 | -5.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 18% | 28% | 6% | 47% | -6.0 | +8.1 | -3.1 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 6,400 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 35% | 5% | 48% | -18.7 | -3.9 | +1.1 | +21.5 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 19% | 4% | 75% | -10.5 | -6.4 | +21.3 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 17% | 10% | 72% | +25.1 | -5.0 | -24.0 | +3.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 9% | 1% | 84% | -4.7 | +2.7 | -2.3 | +4.3 |